Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Chrudim B vs Letohrad

Team pages: MFK Chrudim B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

MFK Chrudim B2.1

Letohrad1.88

1X2

43% 22% 35%

MFK Chrudim B Draw Letohrad

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Chrudim B 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLL

Letohrad 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

MFK Chrudim B 4–0 Letohrad (4 last)

MFK Chrudim B3-2Letohrad
Letohrad1-3MFK Chrudim B
Letohrad1-2MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B3-1Letohrad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim B 1382 · Letohrad 1388

	MFK Chrudim B	Draw	Letohrad
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MFK Chrudim B: 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Chrudim B	Letohrad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 4.4	1.2 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 2.1	0.8 / 2.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	0 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 2.05 · xG: 5.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	2.60 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:48 +23’	2.10	4.00	2.60
06:00 +10’	1.75▼	4.20▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Chrudim B 4–0–0 Letohrad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	3-2 HT 2-2	Letohrad
23/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Letohrad	1-3 HT 0-3	MFK Chrudim B
10/05/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Letohrad	1-2 HT 1-2	MFK Chrudim B
18/09/22 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	3-1 HT 2-0	Letohrad

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Chrudim B	Letohrad
Turnov	1-4 L	2-2 D
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-2 L	0-4 L
SK Kosmonosy	1-6 L	2-3 L
FK Chlumec N.C	2-3 L	1-4 L
SK Vysoke Myto	4-4 D	2-3 L
FK Prepere	1-2 L	1-8 L
FK Trutnov	0-5 L	1-2 L
Usti N Orlici	0-6 L	1-4 L
Cechie Vykan	2-7 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 8 L	0 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Letohrad (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Chrudim B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-5	3	1	L
04/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
26/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
19/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-6	3	6	L
12/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
05/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	5	3	D
29/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	0-6	7	2	L
08/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	2-7	4	1	L

Letohrad

LLLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	0	L
26/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
20/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	0	L
12/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-6	1-8	1	0	L
29/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
09/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim B vs Letohrad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Chrudim B win (43%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim B 43%, draw 22%, Letohrad 35%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim B vs Letohrad?

The model expects 3.98 goals (MFK Chrudim B 2.1 · Letohrad 1.88), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim B vs Letohrad?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.