Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 10:30

Prediction: FK Prepere vs Usti N Orlici

Team pages: FK Prepere · Usti N Orlici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

FK Prepere2.17

Usti N Orlici1.5

1X2

52% 22% 26%

FK Prepere Draw Usti N Orlici

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Prepere 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLWW

Usti N Orlici 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWDWWL

Head-to-head

FK Prepere 3–2 Usti N Orlici (5 last)

FK Prepere4-3Usti N Orlici
Usti N Orlici0-3FK Prepere
FK Prepere4-2Usti N Orlici
Usti N Orlici1-0FK Prepere
Usti N Orlici2-1FK Prepere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1572 · Usti N Orlici 1540

	FK Prepere	Draw	Usti N Orlici
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Prepere: 3-0-2.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Prepere	Usti N Orlici
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.8	2.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:27 +40’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 3–0–2 Usti N Orlici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Czechia Cup	FK Prepere	4-3 HT 3-1	Usti N Orlici
14/05/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Usti N Orlici	0-3 HT 0-1	FK Prepere
02/10/21 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Prepere	4-2 HT 1-2	Usti N Orlici
19/09/20 Czechia 3. Liga	Usti N Orlici	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Prepere
07/09/19 Czechia 3. Liga	Usti N Orlici	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Prepere

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Prepere	Usti N Orlici
Cechie Vykan	5-0 W	2-0 W
TJ Svitavy	3-1 W	0-0 D
Dvur Kralove	0-1 L	1-0 W
Hlinsko	5-0 W	2-1 W
FC Slavia HK	1-0 W	1-3 L
Letohrad	8-1 W	4-1 W
MFK Chrudim B	2-1 W	6-0 W
Turnov	5-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Prepere (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Prepere

LWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
03/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	7	2	W
27/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
19/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	8-1	11	0	W
29/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
22/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-2	6	4	W
16/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-4	6	5	L

Usti N Orlici

DWWLWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	0	5	L
04/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	12	6	W
05/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
29/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	6-0	6	2	W
08/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs Usti N Orlici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Prepere win (52%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 52%, draw 22%, Usti N Orlici 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs Usti N Orlici?

The model expects 3.67 goals (FK Prepere 2.17 · Usti N Orlici 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs Usti N Orlici?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.