Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Chlumec N.C vs TJ Svitavy

Team pages: FK Chlumec N.C · TJ Svitavy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

FK Chlumec N.C2.42

TJ Svitavy1.26

1X2

63% 19% 18%

FK Chlumec N.C Draw TJ Svitavy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Chlumec N.C 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWWWWD

TJ Svitavy 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

FK Chlumec N.C 2–0 TJ Svitavy (2 last)

FK Chlumec N.C4-1TJ Svitavy
TJ Svitavy0-2FK Chlumec N.C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Chlumec N.C 1530 · TJ Svitavy 1404

	FK Chlumec N.C	Draw	TJ Svitavy
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	63%	18%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Chlumec N.C (rating 1530 vs 1404).
H2H favours FK Chlumec N.C: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Chlumec N.C	TJ Svitavy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 7	1.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X5.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:25 +12’	1.42	5.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chlumec N.C 2–0–0 TJ Svitavy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	4-1 HT 2-1	TJ Svitavy
24/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Svitavy	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Chlumec N.C

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
11	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Chlumec N.C	TJ Svitavy
Dvur Kralove	0-0 D	0-1 L
Hlinsko	2-0 W	0-6 L
FC Slavia HK	2-0 W	2-3 L
Letohrad	4-1 W	3-1 W
SK Sparta Kolin	1-1 D	1-3 L
SK Vysoke Myto	2-4 L	3-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Chlumec N.C (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Chlumec N.C

LDLLWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
04/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
26/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	6	0	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
06/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L

TJ Svitavy

WLLLLDDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-5	3	5	L
03/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	5	L
19/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
30/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/08	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
09/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Chlumec N.C vs TJ Svitavy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Chlumec N.C win (63%). Probabilities: FK Chlumec N.C 63%, draw 19%, TJ Svitavy 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Chlumec N.C vs TJ Svitavy?

The model expects 3.69 goals (FK Chlumec N.C 2.42 · TJ Svitavy 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Chlumec N.C vs TJ Svitavy?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.