Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 16/08, 17:30
Prediction: Turnov vs FK Trutnov
Team pages: Turnov · FK Trutnov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.93Total
Turnov2.16
FK Trutnov1.77
1X2
Turnov
Draw
FK Trutnov
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Turnov
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Trutnov
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Turnov
3–3–0
FK Trutnov
(6 last)
- FK Trutnov2-4Turnov
- Turnov3-2FK Trutnov
- Turnov1-1FK Trutnov
- FK Trutnov3-3Turnov
- Turnov2-2FK Trutnov
- FK Trutnov1-2Turnov
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Turnov 1519 · FK Trutnov 1451
| Turnov | Draw | FK Trutnov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Turnov (rating 1519 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Turnov: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Turnov | FK Trutnov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 5 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Turnov 3–3–0 FK Trutnov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Trutnov | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Turnov |
| 15/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga | Turnov | 3-2 HT 2-2 | FK Trutnov |
| 14/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga | Turnov | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Trutnov |
| 16/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Trutnov | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Turnov |
| 26/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga | Turnov | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FK Trutnov |
| 28/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Trutnov | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Turnov |
Standings · Czechia 4. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusta Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Kravare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Bohumin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SK Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FK Sumperk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Jiskra Rymarov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | TJ Novy Jicin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | SK Stonava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | SSK Bilovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Opava B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Frydek Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hlucin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Bridlicna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Turnov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Banik Most-Sous Czechia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | FC Pencin Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga |
3-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga |
3-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
FK Trutnov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia Cup |
1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Slavia HK Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Turnov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Turnov vs FK Trutnov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Turnov win (46%). Probabilities: Turnov 46%, draw 24%, FK Trutnov 31%.
How many goals are expected in Turnov vs FK Trutnov?
The model expects 3.93 goals (Turnov 2.16 · FK Trutnov 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Turnov vs FK Trutnov?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.