Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/08, 03:00
Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Deportes Quindio
Team pages: Union Magdalena · Deportes Quindio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Union Magdalena1.25
Deportes Quindio0.67
1X2
Union Magdalena
Draw
Deportes Quindio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Magdalena
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Deportes Quindio
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Magdalena
3–2–1
Deportes Quindio
(6 last)
- Deportes Quindio1-2Union Magdalena
- Deportes Quindio1-2Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena0-0Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio1-2Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena2-2Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio2-0Union Magdalena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Magdalena 1529 · Deportes Quindio 1511
| Union Magdalena | Draw | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Magdalena: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Magdalena | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 3–2–1 Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 17/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 01/06/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 26/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 28/02/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Quindio |
| 17/06/21 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Orsomarso | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Itagui Leones | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Independiente Yumbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Atletico Cali FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 04/08 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Deportes Quindio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (50%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 50%, draw 30%, Deportes Quindio 20%.
How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Deportes Quindio?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Union Magdalena 1.25 · Deportes Quindio 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Deportes Quindio?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.