Football · Colombia Primera B · 06/09, 22:30
Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Envigado FC
Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Envigado FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Boca Juniors De Cali0.97
Envigado FC1.25
1X2
Boca Juniors De Cali
Draw
Envigado FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Envigado FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali
0–1
Envigado FC
(1 last)
- Envigado FC1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1463 · Envigado FC 1503
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Draw | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Envigado FC (rating 1463 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 0–0–1 Envigado FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Envigado FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real San Andres | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Patriotas FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Itagui Leones | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 12 | Atletico Cali FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Envigado FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors De Cali | Envigado FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Tigres FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Quindio | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Yumbo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Cartagena | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/03 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
Envigado FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Envigado FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Envigado FC win (42%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 28%, draw 30%, Envigado FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Envigado FC?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 0.97 · Envigado FC 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Envigado FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.