Football · Colombia Primera B · 08/09, 00:30
Prediction: Patriotas FC vs Tigres FC
Team pages: Patriotas FC · Tigres FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Patriotas FC1.64
Tigres FC0.8
1X2
Patriotas FC
Draw
Tigres FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Patriotas FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Tigres FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patriotas FC
4–1–1
Tigres FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC1-1Patriotas FC
- Tigres FC2-3Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC2-0Tigres FC
- Patriotas FC4-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC0-2Patriotas FC
- Tigres FC1-0Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patriotas FC 1485 · Tigres FC 1484
| Patriotas FC | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Patriotas FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patriotas FC | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.3 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriotas FC 4–1–1 Tigres FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 07/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 29/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 11/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Tigres FC |
| 13/05/23 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 06/04/22 Colombia Cup | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real San Andres | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Patriotas FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Itagui Leones | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 12 | Atletico Cali FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Envigado FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patriotas FC | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Envigado FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Real Cartagena | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Itagui Leones | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patriotas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 01/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patriotas FC vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patriotas FC win (56%). Probabilities: Patriotas FC 56%, draw 26%, Tigres FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Patriotas FC vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Patriotas FC 1.64 · Tigres FC 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Patriotas FC vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.