Football · Colombia Primera B · 06/09, 00:00

Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla FC

Team pages: Union Magdalena · Barranquilla FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Union Magdalena1.69
Barranquilla FC0.71
1X2
60% 25% 15%
Union Magdalena Draw Barranquilla FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Magdalena 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDLLW
Barranquilla FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWDDLLDDLW
Head-to-head
Union Magdalena 3–2–1 Barranquilla FC (6 last)
  • Barranquilla FC1-1Union Magdalena
  • Union Magdalena2-0Barranquilla FC
  • Barranquilla FC1-3Union Magdalena
  • Barranquilla FC1-1Union Magdalena
  • Union Magdalena1-3Barranquilla FC
  • Union Magdalena3-0Barranquilla FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Magdalena 1503 · Barranquilla FC 1475
Union MagdalenaDrawBarranquilla FC
Our model60%26%14%
Market61%24%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Union Magdalena: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union MagdalenaBarranquilla FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.71.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.31.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.24.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 321 Barranquilla FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/05/26
Colombia Primera B
Barranquilla FC1-1
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
04/05/26
Colombia Primera B
Union Magdalena2-0
HT 1-0
Barranquilla FC
04/03/26
Colombia Primera B
Barranquilla FC1-3
HT 0-2
Union Magdalena
13/08/24
Colombia Primera B
Barranquilla FC1-1
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
21/02/24
Colombia Primera B
Union Magdalena1-3
HT 0-1
Barranquilla FC
26/09/21
Colombia Primera B
Union Magdalena3-0
HT 2-0
Barranquilla FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Real Cartagena 6312 14810
2 Independiente Yumbo 5311 6210
2 Tigres FC 5311 6210
4 Real San Andres 6231 11129
5 Orsomarso 4220 418
6 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 6222 978
7 Deportes Quindio 5221 538
8 Patriotas FC 5221 988
9 Itagui Leones 6222 598
10 Bogota FC 6213 467
11 Barranquilla FC 5122 675
12 Atletico Cali FC 5122 695
13 Internacional FC de Palmira 5122 475
14 Envigado FC 5113 354
15 Boca Juniors De Cali 5113 474
16 Union Magdalena 5113 144

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion MagdalenaBarranquilla FC
Orsomarso 0-0 D 0-1 L
Bogota FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Real Cartagena 3-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Union Magdalena (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Magdalena

WLWDDLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/09 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 68 W
29/08 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-2 47 L
24/08 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 64 L
01/08 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 74 D
25/07 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 43 L
21/05 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 45 D
18/05 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 68 D
12/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-0 3-0 66 W
09/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-2 1-2 48 L
04/05 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-0 66 W

Barranquilla FC

LWDDLLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/09 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-1 77 W
25/08 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 74 L
20/08 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-2 D
03/08 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
1-2 2-2 135 D
27/07 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-1 13 L
22/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-2 23 L
18/05 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 28 D
13/05 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-1 24 D
09/05 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-0 23 W
04/05 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (60%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 60%, draw 25%, Barranquilla FC 15%.

How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Union Magdalena 1.69 · Barranquilla FC 0.71), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.