Football · Colombia Primera B · 22/09, 23:00
Prediction: Atletico Cali FC vs Tigres FC
Team pages: Atletico Cali FC · Tigres FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Atletico Cali FC1.13
Tigres FC1.33
1X2
Atletico Cali FC
Draw
Tigres FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Cali FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Tigres FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Cali FC
1–1–4
Tigres FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC2-1Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-0Atletico Cali FC
- Tigres FC2-0Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-3Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-3Atletico Cali FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Cali FC 1482 · Tigres FC 1520
| Atletico Cali FC | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Cali FC | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Cali FC 1–1–4 Tigres FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 18/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 10/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 29/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 26/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tigres FC |
| 23/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Atletico Cali FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Atletico Cali FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportes Quindio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Itagui Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Orsomarso | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Envigado FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Cali FC | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orsomarso | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Itagui Leones | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Bogota FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Patriotas FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Union Magdalena | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Cali FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Cali FC vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres FC win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Cali FC 30%, draw 30%, Tigres FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Cali FC vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Atletico Cali FC 1.13 · Tigres FC 1.33), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Cali FC vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.