Football · Colombia Primera B · 22/09, 23:00
Prediction: Real San Andres vs Orsomarso
Team pages: Real San Andres · Orsomarso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Real San Andres1.13
Orsomarso0.97
1X2
Real San Andres
Draw
Orsomarso
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Orsomarso
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real San Andres
0–2–4
Orsomarso
(6 last)
- Orsomarso2-0Real San Andres
- Orsomarso1-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres0-0Orsomarso
- Real San Andres0-2Orsomarso
- Orsomarso4-2Real San Andres
- Orsomarso2-2Real San Andres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1448 · Orsomarso 1451
| Real San Andres | Draw | Orsomarso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Orsomarso: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real San Andres | Orsomarso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 0–2–4 Orsomarso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 15/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 06/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 02/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
| 11/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 14/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Atletico Cali FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportes Quindio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Itagui Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Orsomarso | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Envigado FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real San Andres | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Cali FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Patriotas FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Cartagena | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Bogota FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Itagui Leones | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
Orsomarso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Orsomarso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real San Andres win (39%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 39%, draw 31%, Orsomarso 31%.
How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Orsomarso?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Real San Andres 1.13 · Orsomarso 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Orsomarso?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.