Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 19/07, 09:30

Prediction: White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide United NPL

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

White City FK Beograd1.73

Adelaide United NPL1.25

1X2

48% 25% 27%

White City FK Beograd Draw Adelaide United NPL

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

White City FK Beograd 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Adelaide United NPL 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

White City FK Beograd 2–1–3 Adelaide United NPL (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · White City FK Beograd 1561 · Adelaide United NPL 1489

	White City FK Beograd	Draw	Adelaide United NPL
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours White City FK Beograd (rating 1561 vs 1489).
H2H favours Adelaide United NPL: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	White City FK Beograd	Adelaide United NPL
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	3.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · White City FK Beograd 2–1–3 Adelaide United NPL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	0-1 HT 0-1	White City FK Beograd
24/08/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	White City FK Beograd	1-2 HT 1-2	Adelaide United NPL
14/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	White City FK Beograd	3-1 HT 3-1	Adelaide United NPL
13/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	2-1 HT 0-1	White City FK Beograd
03/08/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide United NPL	4-1 HT 2-0	White City FK Beograd
11/05/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	White City FK Beograd	2-2 HT 1-1	Adelaide United NPL

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metrostars	17	11	4	2	48	18	37
2	Adelaide City	17	10	5	2	33	14	35
3	West Torrens Birkalla	17	11	2	4	35	24	35
4	White City FK Beograd	17	9	3	5	31	19	30
5	Croydon FC	17	8	3	6	38	30	27
6	Playford	17	7	5	5	35	26	26
7	Adelaide United NPL	17	5	7	5	22	24	22
8	Sturt Lions	17	7	0	10	30	30	21
9	Campbelltown City	17	5	4	8	27	29	19
10	West Adelaide	17	4	6	7	33	34	18
11	Adelaide Comets	17	3	4	10	19	34	13
12	Para Hills Knights	17	0	1	16	7	76	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	White City FK Beograd	Adelaide United NPL
West Adelaide	1-0 W	1-3 L
Playford	1-0 W	0-0 D
West Torrens Birkalla	2-0 W	3-0 W
Para Hills Knights	5-1 W	2-0 W
Metrostars	1-2 L	1-6 L
Sturt Lions	1-2 L	3-2 W
Adelaide City	2-2 D	0-0 D
Campbelltown City	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: White City FK Beograd (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

White City FK Beograd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia Federation Cup	1-1	2-2	6	9	D
04/07	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
27/06	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
20/06	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
17/06	West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
13/06	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	5-1	9	1	W
06/06	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	0-2	1-2	3	8	L
30/05	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
23/05	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	1-2	2-2	5	9	D
16/05	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	5	W

Adelaide United NPL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
26/06	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	0-3	13	0	L
20/06	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
13/06	Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
07/06	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	1-2	1-3	5	1	L
30/05	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
23/05	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
16/05	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
09/05	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	1-4	1-6	5	2	L
02/05	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-1	3-2	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide United NPL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a White City FK Beograd win (48%). Probabilities: White City FK Beograd 48%, draw 25%, Adelaide United NPL 27%.

How many goals are expected in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide United NPL?

The model expects 2.98 goals (White City FK Beograd 1.73 · Adelaide United NPL 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in White City FK Beograd vs Adelaide United NPL?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.