Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 25/07, 07:00
Prediction: Croydon FC vs Campbelltown City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Croydon FC1.86
Campbelltown City1.78
1X2
Croydon FC
Draw
Campbelltown City
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Croydon FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Campbelltown City
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Croydon FC
3–2–1
Campbelltown City
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Croydon FC 1554 · Campbelltown City 1464
| Croydon FC | Draw | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Croydon FC (rating 1554 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Croydon FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Croydon FC | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Croydon FC 3–2–1 Campbelltown City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Croydon FC |
| 05/07/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Croydon FC |
| 12/04/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 5-3 HT 4-1 | Campbelltown City |
| 01/06/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Croydon FC |
| 02/03/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Campbelltown City |
| 17/06/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Croydon FC |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 38 |
| 2 | Metrostars | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 36 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 30 |
| 5 | Playford | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 19 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 87 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Croydon FC | Campbelltown City |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide City | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Adelaide Comets | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Adelaide United NPL | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| West Adelaide | 5-5 D | 0-0 D |
| Playford | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Metrostars | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Sturt Lions | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| White City FK Beograd | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Croydon FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Croydon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Campbelltown City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Croydon FC vs Campbelltown City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Croydon FC win (40%). Probabilities: Croydon FC 40%, draw 24%, Campbelltown City 37%.
How many goals are expected in Croydon FC vs Campbelltown City?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Croydon FC 1.86 · Campbelltown City 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Croydon FC vs Campbelltown City?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.