Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 25/07, 07:00
Prediction: Adelaide City vs West Torrens Birkalla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Adelaide City1.65
West Torrens Birkalla1.29
1X2
Adelaide City
Draw
West Torrens Birkalla
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Adelaide City
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
West Torrens Birkalla
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Adelaide City
2–2–2
West Torrens Birkalla
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide City 1556 · West Torrens Birkalla 1533
| Adelaide City | Draw | West Torrens Birkalla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide City | West Torrens Birkalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 2.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide City 2–2–2 West Torrens Birkalla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Torrens Birkalla | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
| 13/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Torrens Birkalla | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Adelaide City |
| 27/03/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | West Torrens Birkalla | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide City |
| 17/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 23/07/22 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Torrens Birkalla | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Adelaide City |
| 07/05/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Adelaide City | 5-0 HT 2-0 | West Torrens Birkalla |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 38 |
| 2 | Metrostars | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 36 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 30 |
| 5 | Playford | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 19 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 87 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide City | West Torrens Birkalla |
|---|---|---|
| Croydon FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Para Hills Knights | 2-0 W | 11-0 W |
| Adelaide Comets | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Metrostars | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Adelaide United NPL | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Sturt Lions | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| White City FK Beograd | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
West Torrens Birkalla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 11-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Fulham United FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide City vs West Torrens Birkalla?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide City win (45%). Probabilities: Adelaide City 45%, draw 25%, West Torrens Birkalla 29%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide City vs West Torrens Birkalla?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Adelaide City 1.65 · West Torrens Birkalla 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide City vs West Torrens Birkalla?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.