Football · Colombia Primera B · 25/07, 01:00
Prediction: Tigres FC vs Itagui Leones
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Tigres FC1.21
Itagui Leones0.74
1X2
Tigres FC
Draw
Itagui Leones
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Itagui Leones
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres FC
2–4–0
Itagui Leones
(6 last)
- Itagui Leones0-0Tigres FC
- Itagui Leones1-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-1Itagui Leones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1474 · Itagui Leones 1466
| Tigres FC | Draw | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 2–4–0 Itagui Leones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 11/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres FC |
| 03/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 18/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Itagui Leones |
| 26/02/24 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Tigres FC |
| 03/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tigres FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Cali FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barranquilla FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bogota FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Patriotas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real San Andres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportes Quindio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Envigado FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Orsomarso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tigres FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres FC | Itagui Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/03 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Itagui Leones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Orsomarso Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 01/04 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/03 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 13 | L |
| 14/03 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Itagui Leones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres FC win (47%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 47%, draw 31%, Itagui Leones 22%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Itagui Leones?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Tigres FC 1.21 · Itagui Leones 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Itagui Leones?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.