Football · Colombia Primera B · 03/08, 00:00
Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira vs Bogota FC
Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira · Bogota FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Internacional FC de Palmira1.43
Bogota FC0.69
1X2
Internacional FC de Palmira
Draw
Bogota FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional FC de Palmira
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Bogota FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional FC de Palmira
4–2–0
Bogota FC
(6 last)
- Bogota FC1-2Internacional FC de Palmira
- Bogota FC2-2Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira2-1Bogota FC
- Bogota FC1-2Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira3-0Bogota FC
- Bogota FC1-1Internacional FC de Palmira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira 1485 · Bogota FC 1471
| Internacional FC de Palmira | Draw | Bogota FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional FC de Palmira | Bogota FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira 4–2–0 Bogota FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 11/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 03/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bogota FC |
| 21/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 02/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Bogota FC |
| 11/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Envigado FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Real San Andres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico Cali FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional FC de Palmira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Bogota FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Bogota FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira win (55%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira 55%, draw 27%, Bogota FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Bogota FC?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira 1.43 · Bogota FC 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Bogota FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.