Prediction: Independiente Yumbo vs Envigado FC
Team pages: Independiente Yumbo · Envigado FC
- Envigado FC2-0Independiente Yumbo
| Independiente Yumbo | Draw | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Envigado FC (rating 1443 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Yumbo | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Yumbo 0–0–1 Envigado FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Envigado FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Yumbo |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Independiente Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Real San Andres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico Cali FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Yumbo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 07/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/03 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Envigado FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Yumbo vs Envigado FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Envigado FC win (35%). Probabilities: Independiente Yumbo 33%, draw 32%, Envigado FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Yumbo vs Envigado FC?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Independiente Yumbo 1.01 · Envigado FC 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Yumbo vs Envigado FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.