Football · Colombia Primera B · 01/08, 23:00
Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Tigres FC
Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Tigres FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Boca Juniors De Cali1.26
Tigres FC0.8
1X2
Boca Juniors De Cali
Draw
Tigres FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Tigres FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali
2–1–3
Tigres FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC2-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Tigres FC0-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC0-1Boca Juniors De Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1499 · Tigres FC 1446
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors De Cali (rating 1499 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 2–1–3 Tigres FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 23/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres FC |
| 14/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 15/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 13/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 16/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Envigado FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Orsomarso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Barranquilla FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico Cali FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Real San Andres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors De Cali | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Quindio | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/03 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 21/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors De Cali win (46%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 46%, draw 31%, Tigres FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.26 · Tigres FC 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.