Football · Colombia Primera B · 03/08, 00:00
Prediction: Barranquilla FC vs Atletico Cali FC
Team pages: Barranquilla FC · Atletico Cali FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Barranquilla FC1.9
Atletico Cali FC0.95
1X2
Barranquilla FC
Draw
Atletico Cali FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barranquilla FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Cali FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barranquilla FC
3–2–1
Atletico Cali FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Cali FC0-2Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-2Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-2Barranquilla FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC4-0Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC0-0Barranquilla FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barranquilla FC 1509 · Atletico Cali FC 1392
| Barranquilla FC | Draw | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barranquilla FC (rating 1509 vs 1392).
- H2H favours Barranquilla FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barranquilla FC | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barranquilla FC 3–2–1 Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Barranquilla FC |
| 14/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 01/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Barranquilla FC |
| 23/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Barranquilla FC |
| 11/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 11/11/23 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barranquilla FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Envigado FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Real San Andres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico Cali FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Junior Colombia Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Junior Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
0-5 | 1-8 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/03 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barranquilla FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barranquilla FC win (58%). Probabilities: Barranquilla FC 58%, draw 25%, Atletico Cali FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Barranquilla FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Barranquilla FC 1.9 · Atletico Cali FC 0.95), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barranquilla FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.