Football · Colombia Primera B · 26/07, 02:00
Prediction: Real Cartagena vs Real San Andres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Real Cartagena2.06
Real San Andres0.59
1X2
Real Cartagena
Draw
Real San Andres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Real Cartagena
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Real San Andres
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Cartagena
4–1–1
Real San Andres
(6 last)
- Real San Andres0-1Real Cartagena
- Real San Andres2-0Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena2-0Real San Andres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Cartagena 1505 · Real San Andres 1373
| Real Cartagena | Draw | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Cartagena (rating 1505 vs 1373).
- H2H favours Real Cartagena: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Cartagena | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Cartagena 4–1–1 Real San Andres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Cartagena |
| 15/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 09/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 27/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 28/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Real San Andres |
| 26/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Cali FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barranquilla FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bogota FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Patriotas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real San Andres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportes Quindio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Envigado FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Orsomarso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tigres FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Cartagena | Real San Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Bogota FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Union Magdalena | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Cartagena (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Cartagena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | America de Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
Real San Andres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 16/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 08/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/03 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Cartagena vs Real San Andres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Cartagena win (72%). Probabilities: Real Cartagena 72%, draw 19%, Real San Andres 9%.
How many goals are expected in Real Cartagena vs Real San Andres?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Real Cartagena 2.06 · Real San Andres 0.59), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Cartagena vs Real San Andres?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.