Football · Colombia Primera B · 26/07, 23:00
Prediction: Patriotas FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Patriotas FC1.17
Internacional FC de Palmira0.83
1X2
Patriotas FC
Draw
Internacional FC de Palmira
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Patriotas FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Internacional FC de Palmira
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patriotas FC
1–2–3
Internacional FC de Palmira
(6 last)
- Internacional FC de Palmira3-1Patriotas FC
- Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC2-0Internacional FC de Palmira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patriotas FC 1446 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1544
| Patriotas FC | Draw | Internacional FC de Palmira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional FC de Palmira (rating 1446 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patriotas FC | Internacional FC de Palmira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriotas FC 1–2–3 Internacional FC de Palmira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 26/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 17/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 07/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 07/06/23 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 26/05/23 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Cali FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barranquilla FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bogota FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Patriotas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real San Andres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Envigado FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Orsomarso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patriotas FC | Internacional FC de Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Union Magdalena | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patriotas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 01/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 16/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Internacional FC de Palmira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/03 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patriotas FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patriotas FC win (43%). Probabilities: Patriotas FC 43%, draw 31%, Internacional FC de Palmira 26%.
How many goals are expected in Patriotas FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
The model expects 2 goals (Patriotas FC 1.17 · Internacional FC de Palmira 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Patriotas FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.