Football · Colombia Primera B · 27/07, 00:00
Prediction: Orsomarso vs Barranquilla FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Orsomarso1.41
Barranquilla FC0.86
1X2
Orsomarso
Draw
Barranquilla FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Barranquilla FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso
3–1–2
Barranquilla FC
(6 last)
- Barranquilla FC1-2Orsomarso
- Barranquilla FC0-2Orsomarso
- Barranquilla FC2-0Orsomarso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso 1503 · Barranquilla FC 1483
| Orsomarso | Draw | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Orsomarso: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso 3–1–2 Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Orsomarso |
| 20/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
| 04/06/25 Colombia Cup | Barranquilla FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 09/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 17/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 15/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Barranquilla FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Cali FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barranquilla FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bogota FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Patriotas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real San Andres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Envigado FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Orsomarso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso | Barranquilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bogota FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Real San Andres | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barranquilla FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 12/05 | Itagui Leones Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/03 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Junior Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso vs Barranquilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso win (49%). Probabilities: Orsomarso 49%, draw 29%, Barranquilla FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso vs Barranquilla FC?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Orsomarso 1.41 · Barranquilla FC 0.86), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Barranquilla FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.