Football · Colombia Primera B · 27/07, 22:30

Prediction: Envigado FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Envigado FC1.57
Real Soacha Cundinamarca0.8
1X2
55% 27% 18%
Envigado FC Draw Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Envigado FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWWWDL
Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDLDWWLD
Head-to-head
Envigado FC 1–0 Real Soacha Cundinamarca (1 last)
  • Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-2Envigado FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Envigado FC 1569 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1473
Envigado FCDrawReal Soacha Cundinamarca
Our model55%28%18%
Market55%26%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Envigado FC (rating 1569 vs 1473).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Envigado FCReal Soacha Cundinamarca
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.31.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.34.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Envigado FC 100 Real Soacha Cundinamarca

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/01/26
Colombia Primera B
Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-2
HT 0-2
Envigado FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Real Cartagena 110 513
2 Boca Juniors De Cali 110 103
2 Bogota FC 110 103
2 Itagui Leones 110 103
5 Atletico Cali FC 000 000
5 Barranquilla FC 000 000
5 Patriotas FC 000 000
5 Envigado FC 000 000
5 Independiente Yumbo 000 000
5 Internacional FC de Palmira 000 000
5 Orsomarso 000 000
5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 000 000
13 Deportes Quindio 101 010
13 Tigres FC 101 010
13 Union Magdalena 101 010
16 Real San Andres 101 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEnvigado FCReal Soacha Cundinamarca
Deportes Quindio 1-0 W 0-0 D
Tigres FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Envigado FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Envigado FC

WLWDDWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Once Caldas
Colombia Cup
0-2 0-3 61 L
29/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 15 D
26/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 3-2 24 W
18/05 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 28 W
15/05 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-1 55 W
11/05 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 54 D
04/05 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 24 D
29/04 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 2-0 56 W
25/04 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 35 L
18/04 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-0 23 W

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

DDLDLDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/05 Aguilas Doradas
Colombia Cup
1-0 2-2 56 D
17/05 Deportivo Pereira
Colombia Cup
0-0 0-1 82 L
13/05 Independiente Yumbo
Colombia Cup
1-0 2-0 66 W
07/05 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Cup
1-0 2-1 12 W
18/04 Independiente Yumbo
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-1 19 D
11/04 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-2 0-2 65 L
01/04 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-2 20 D
26/03 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 95 L
21/03 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 2-2 41 D
17/03 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 15 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Envigado FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Envigado FC win (55%). Probabilities: Envigado FC 55%, draw 27%, Real Soacha Cundinamarca 18%.

How many goals are expected in Envigado FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Envigado FC 1.57 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Envigado FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.