Football · Colombia Primera B · 06/08, 21:00

Prediction: Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Boca Juniors De Cali

Team pages: Real Soacha Cundinamarca · Boca Juniors De Cali

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.36

Boca Juniors De Cali0.65

1X2

54% 29% 17%

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Draw Boca Juniors De Cali

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWLDLD

Boca Juniors De Cali 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWLWWD

Head-to-head

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 5–1–0 Boca Juniors De Cali (6 last)

Boca Juniors De Cali1-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1502 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1487

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Draw	Boca Juniors De Cali
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	54%	27%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Boca Juniors De Cali
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	2.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.30

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	3.50 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.58

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:04 +37’	2.10	3.10	3.50
23:27 +7’	1.90▼	3.20▲	4.10▲
00:23 +1’	1.67▼	3.30▲	5.00▲
01:26 +2’	1.80▲	3.20▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:24	1.83	3.18	4.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 5–1–0 Boca Juniors De Cali

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
20/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-0 HT 1-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
07/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-1 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
22/08/25 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-1 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
17/03/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-0 HT 0-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
31/08/24 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-2 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
2	Patriotas FC	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
3	Independiente Yumbo	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	Envigado FC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Itagui Leones	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Boca Juniors De Cali	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
6	Bogota FC	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
6	Orsomarso	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
9	Barranquilla FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Deportes Quindio	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Tigres FC	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
12	Union Magdalena	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
14	Atletico Cali FC	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
15	Internacional FC de Palmira	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	Real San Andres	2	0	1	1	3	7	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Boca Juniors De Cali
Real Cartagena	1-1 D	1-1 D
Independiente Yumbo	2-0 W	0-0 D
Tigres FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Cali FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

LDLDWWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
27/07	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
26/05	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
17/05	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
13/05	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
07/05	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
18/04	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
11/04	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
01/04	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
26/03	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	9	5	L

Boca Juniors De Cali

DDDLDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
24/07	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
21/05	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup	1-0	3-2	3	0	W
15/05	Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
12/05	Real San Andres Colombia Cup	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
08/05	Alianza Colombia Cup	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
18/04	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
07/04	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/04	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
27/03	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Boca Juniors De Cali?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (54%). Probabilities: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 54%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors De Cali 17%.

How many goals are expected in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Boca Juniors De Cali?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.36 · Boca Juniors De Cali 0.65), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Boca Juniors De Cali?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.