Football · Colombia Primera B · 28/07, 02:30
Prediction: Atletico Cali FC vs Independiente Yumbo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Atletico Cali FC0.84
Independiente Yumbo1.47
1X2
Atletico Cali FC
Draw
Independiente Yumbo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Cali FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Independiente Yumbo
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Cali FC
0–1–0
Independiente Yumbo
(1 last)
- Independiente Yumbo1-1Atletico Cali FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Cali FC 1418 · Independiente Yumbo 1430
| Atletico Cali FC | Draw | Independiente Yumbo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 29% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Cali FC | Independiente Yumbo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Cali FC 0–1–0 Independiente Yumbo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Independiente Yumbo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Atletico Cali FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Barranquilla FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Envigado FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Independiente Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Real San Andres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Cali FC | Independiente Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Patriotas FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Union Magdalena | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
0-5 | 1-8 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/03 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/03 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Independiente Yumbo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 07/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/03 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Cali FC vs Independiente Yumbo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Yumbo win (51%). Probabilities: Atletico Cali FC 20%, draw 29%, Independiente Yumbo 51%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Cali FC vs Independiente Yumbo?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Atletico Cali FC 0.84 · Independiente Yumbo 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Cali FC vs Independiente Yumbo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.