Football · Colombia Primera B · 09/09, 22:30

Prediction: Independiente Yumbo vs Deportes Quindio

Team pages: Independiente Yumbo · Deportes Quindio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.68Total

Independiente Yumbo1.08

Deportes Quindio0.6

1X2

47% 32% 21%

Independiente Yumbo Draw Deportes Quindio

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Yumbo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDWLWW

Deportes Quindio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDDWWD

Head-to-head

Independiente Yumbo 0–1–0 Deportes Quindio (1 last)

Deportes Quindio0-0Independiente Yumbo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Yumbo 1500 · Deportes Quindio 1519

	Independiente Yumbo	Draw	Deportes Quindio
Our model	46%	35%	19%
Market	49%	29%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Yumbo	Deportes Quindio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.2	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.34 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.10 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:11 +8’	1.85	3.10	4.10
00:07 +1’	2.10▲	3.10	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:14 +4’	2.43	2.90	2.88
23:26 +42’	2.34▼	2.92▲	2.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Yumbo 0–1–0 Deportes Quindio

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	0-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Yumbo

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	7	4	1	2	15	8	13
2	Independiente Yumbo	6	4	1	1	8	2	13
3	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
4	Patriotas FC	6	3	2	1	10	8	11
5	Tigres FC	6	3	1	2	6	3	10
6	Real San Andres	7	2	4	1	11	12	10
7	Deportes Quindio	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
8	Orsomarso	5	2	2	1	4	2	8
9	Atletico Cali FC	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
10	Barranquilla FC	6	2	2	2	8	8	8
11	Itagui Leones	7	2	2	3	5	12	8
12	Bogota FC	7	2	1	4	4	8	7
13	Envigado FC	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
14	Boca Juniors De Cali	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
15	Internacional FC de Palmira	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
16	Union Magdalena	6	1	1	4	2	6	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Yumbo	Deportes Quindio
Itagui Leones	1-0 W	1-1 D
Real San Andres	0-1 L	0-0 D
Envigado FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Boca Juniors De Cali	0-0 D	0-1 L
Union Magdalena	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Quindio (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Yumbo

WLDDWDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
28/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
07/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
03/08	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	12	5	D
28/07	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
18/04	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	9	9	D
07/04	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
30/03	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	5	9	L
27/03	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	1	7	W

Deportes Quindio

WWLLLDDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
29/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
24/08	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
08/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
04/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
24/07	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	8	L
15/05	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/05	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
05/05	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Yumbo vs Deportes Quindio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Yumbo win (47%). Probabilities: Independiente Yumbo 47%, draw 32%, Deportes Quindio 21%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Yumbo vs Deportes Quindio?

The model expects 1.68 goals (Independiente Yumbo 1.08 · Deportes Quindio 0.6), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Yumbo vs Deportes Quindio?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.