Prediction: Independiente Yumbo vs Itagui Leones
Team pages: Independiente Yumbo · Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones0-2Independiente Yumbo
| Independiente Yumbo | Draw | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Yumbo | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Yumbo 1–0–0 Itagui Leones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Independiente Yumbo |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Orsomarso | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Itagui Leones | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Independiente Yumbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Atletico Cali FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Yumbo | Itagui Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Real San Andres | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Real Cartagena | 2-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Patriotas FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Orsomarso | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Yumbo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 07/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/03 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Itagui Leones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-4 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 06/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 01/04 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/03 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Yumbo vs Itagui Leones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Yumbo win (57%). Probabilities: Independiente Yumbo 57%, draw 27%, Itagui Leones 16%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Yumbo vs Itagui Leones?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Independiente Yumbo 1.48 · Itagui Leones 0.64), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Yumbo vs Itagui Leones?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.