Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/08, 21:00

Prediction: Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas FC

Team pages: Real Soacha Cundinamarca · Patriotas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.22

Patriotas FC1.06

1X2

39% 31% 31%

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Draw Patriotas FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLDLDWDL

Patriotas FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 3–3 Patriotas FC (6 last)

Patriotas FC1-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Patriotas FC0-3Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-0Patriotas FC
Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-1Patriotas FC
Patriotas FC2-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Patriotas FC0-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1484 · Patriotas FC 1480

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Draw	Patriotas FC
Our model	38%	31%	30%
Market	39%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Patriotas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	3.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +4’	2.38	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 3–0–3 Patriotas FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Patriotas FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
23/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Patriotas FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
02/11/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-0 HT 1-0	Patriotas FC
09/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0-1 HT 0-0	Patriotas FC
22/07/25 Colombia Primera B	Patriotas FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
04/06/25 Colombia Primera B	Patriotas FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
2	Patriotas FC	4	2	2	0	8	4	8
3	Orsomarso	4	2	2	0	4	1	8
4	Itagui Leones	5	2	2	1	5	8	8
5	Independiente Yumbo	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
6	Tigres FC	4	2	1	1	3	2	7
7	Bogota FC	5	2	1	2	3	4	7
8	Real San Andres	5	1	3	1	8	11	6
9	Deportes Quindio	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
11	Internacional FC de Palmira	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
12	Envigado FC	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
13	Boca Juniors De Cali	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
14	Barranquilla FC	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
15	Atletico Cali FC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
16	Union Magdalena	3	0	1	2	0	2	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Patriotas FC
Orsomarso	0-2 L	1-1 D
Itagui Leones	1-1 D	1-0 W
Boca Juniors De Cali	3-1 W	3-3 D
Real Cartagena	1-1 D	1-0 W
Envigado FC	0-1 L	0-2 L
Independiente Yumbo	1-1 D	1-2 L
Atletico Cali FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

DLDLDLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	6	6	W
02/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
27/07	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
18/04	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
11/04	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
01/04	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
26/03	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
21/03	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-2	4	1	D

Patriotas FC

LDLWWLWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
20/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
31/07	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/07	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-1	3-1	10	6	W
18/04	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	11	3	L
14/04	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
01/04	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
27/03	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
21/03	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	2-2	3-3	8	1	D
16/03	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (39%). Probabilities: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 39%, draw 31%, Patriotas FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas FC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.22 · Patriotas FC 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.