Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/08, 22:30

Prediction: Real San Andres vs Internacional FC de Palmira

Team pages: Real San Andres · Internacional FC de Palmira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Real San Andres0.91

Internacional FC de Palmira1.11

1X2

30% 31% 40%

Real San Andres Draw Internacional FC de Palmira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Real San Andres 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDDW

Internacional FC de Palmira 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Real San Andres 0–1–5 Internacional FC de Palmira (6 last)

Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Real San Andres
Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Real San Andres
Real San Andres0-3Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira4-2Real San Andres
Real San Andres0-2Internacional FC de Palmira
Real San Andres2-2Internacional FC de Palmira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1388 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1507

	Real San Andres	Draw	Internacional FC de Palmira
Our model	28%	33%	39%
Market	31%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional FC de Palmira (rating 1388 vs 1507).
H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real San Andres	Internacional FC de Palmira
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	0.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:09 +8’	3.00	3.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 0–1–5 Internacional FC de Palmira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	1-0 HT 0-0	Real San Andres
20/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	1-0 HT 1-0	Real San Andres
12/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	0-3 HT 0-2	Internacional FC de Palmira
23/10/24 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	4-2 HT 2-0	Real San Andres
12/05/24 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	0-2 HT 0-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
18/08/23 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	2-2 HT 0-2	Internacional FC de Palmira

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
2	Patriotas FC	4	2	2	0	8	4	8
3	Orsomarso	4	2	2	0	4	1	8
4	Itagui Leones	5	2	2	1	5	8	8
5	Independiente Yumbo	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
6	Tigres FC	4	2	1	1	3	2	7
7	Bogota FC	5	2	1	2	3	4	7
8	Real San Andres	5	1	3	1	8	11	6
9	Deportes Quindio	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
11	Internacional FC de Palmira	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
12	Envigado FC	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
13	Boca Juniors De Cali	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
14	Barranquilla FC	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
15	Atletico Cali FC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
16	Union Magdalena	3	0	1	2	0	2	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real San Andres	Internacional FC de Palmira
Barranquilla FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Patriotas FC	2-2 D	1-3 L
Bogota FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Envigado FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real San Andres

LLLLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	6	7	D
31/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
26/07	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-3	1-5	5	3	L
18/04	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
13/04	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
08/04	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
31/03	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-3	5	6	L
26/03	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	5	2	L

Internacional FC de Palmira

LDDDWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
03/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	15	5	D
26/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-3	2	6	L
19/05	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
15/05	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
30/04	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
25/04	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional FC de Palmira win (40%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 30%, draw 31%, Internacional FC de Palmira 40%.

How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Real San Andres 0.91 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.