Football · Colombia Primera B · 04/09, 01:00

Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira · Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Internacional FC de Palmira1.47

Real Soacha Cundinamarca0.84

1X2

51% 28% 21%

Internacional FC de Palmira Draw Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional FC de Palmira 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLDDWL

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDLDWDLW

Head-to-head

Internacional FC de Palmira 1–3–2 Real Soacha Cundinamarca (6 last)

Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-2Internacional FC de Palmira
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-0Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira3-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Internacional FC de Palmira0-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-1Internacional FC de Palmira
Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-0Internacional FC de Palmira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira 1481 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1501

	Internacional FC de Palmira	Draw	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Our model	51%	29%	20%
Market	52%	27%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional FC de Palmira	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.88 ★
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.35
2	4.75 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +7’	1.67	3.40	4.75
18:17 +5’	1.75▲	3.30▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:22	1.88	3.35	4.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira 1–3–2 Real Soacha Cundinamarca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-2 HT 1-2	Internacional FC de Palmira
26/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-0 HT 1-0	Internacional FC de Palmira
18/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	3-2 HT 1-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
17/08/24 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
26/02/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-1 HT 1-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
23/07/23 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional FC de Palmira

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
2	Independiente Yumbo	5	3	1	1	6	2	10
2	Tigres FC	5	3	1	1	6	2	10
4	Real San Andres	6	2	3	1	11	12	9
5	Orsomarso	4	2	2	0	4	1	8
6	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	6	2	2	2	9	7	8
7	Deportes Quindio	5	2	2	1	5	3	8
8	Patriotas FC	5	2	2	1	9	8	8
9	Itagui Leones	6	2	2	2	5	9	8
10	Bogota FC	6	2	1	3	4	6	7
11	Barranquilla FC	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
12	Atletico Cali FC	5	1	2	2	6	9	5
13	Internacional FC de Palmira	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
14	Envigado FC	5	1	1	3	3	5	4
15	Boca Juniors De Cali	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
16	Union Magdalena	5	1	1	3	1	4	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional FC de Palmira	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Bogota FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Patriotas FC	1-3 L	4-1 W
Tigres FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Envigado FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional FC de Palmira

DDDWDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
25/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
03/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	15	5	D
26/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-3	2	6	L
19/05	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
15/05	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
30/04	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	10	5	D

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

LDLDLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	6	6	W
02/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
27/07	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
18/04	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
11/04	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
01/04	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
26/03	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira win (51%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira 51%, draw 28%, Real Soacha Cundinamarca 21%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira 1.47 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.