Football · Colombia Primera B · 27/09, 00:00
Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Patriotas FC
Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Patriotas FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Boca Juniors De Cali1.4
Patriotas FC1.32
1X2
Boca Juniors De Cali
Draw
Patriotas FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Patriotas FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali
1–2–3
Patriotas FC
(6 last)
- Patriotas FC3-3Boca Juniors De Cali
- Patriotas FC1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-0Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-2Patriotas FC
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1489 · Patriotas FC 1508
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Draw | Patriotas FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Patriotas FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Patriotas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 3.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 1–2–3 Patriotas FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 16/11/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 12/11/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 03/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 21/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 24/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Patriotas FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Atletico Cali FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Bogota FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 11 | Deportes Quindio | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Orsomarso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Itagui Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | Envigado FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors De Cali | Patriotas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real San Andres | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Envigado FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Tigres FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Quindio | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Patriotas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 14/09 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 11/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Patriotas FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors De Cali win (37%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 37%, draw 29%, Patriotas FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Patriotas FC?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.4 · Patriotas FC 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Patriotas FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.