Football · Colombia Primera B · 26/09, 21:00
Prediction: Tigres FC vs Real San Andres
Team pages: Tigres FC · Real San Andres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Tigres FC1.45
Real San Andres0.8
1X2
Tigres FC
Draw
Real San Andres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Real San Andres
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres FC
4–1–1
Real San Andres
(6 last)
- Real San Andres1-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres1-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres0-3Tigres FC
- Real San Andres1-2Tigres FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1540 · Real San Andres 1469
| Tigres FC | Draw | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres FC (rating 1540 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 4–1–1 Real San Andres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 13/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Real San Andres |
| 01/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 04/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 15/02/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres FC |
| 20/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Atletico Cali FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Bogota FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 11 | Deportes Quindio | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Orsomarso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Itagui Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | Envigado FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres FC | Real San Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Cali FC | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bogota FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Orsomarso | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Patriotas FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Real Cartagena | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Real San Andres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres FC win (52%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 52%, draw 28%, Real San Andres 20%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Real San Andres?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Tigres FC 1.45 · Real San Andres 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Real San Andres?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.