Prediction: Racing Beirut vs Tadamon Sour
| Racing Beirut | Draw | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 27% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 22% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tadamon Sour (rating 1361 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Tadamon Sour: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Beirut | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0 / 2.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/22/78% | 13/50/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Beirut 2–1–3 Tadamon Sour
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Beirut |
| 07/12/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tadamon Sour |
| 30/03/25 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tadamon Sour |
| 11/08/23 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Racing Beirut |
| 17/02/19 Lebanon League | Racing Beirut | 3-1 | Tadamon Sour |
| 08/12/18 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 2-0 | Racing Beirut |
Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reyady Abaseya | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 20 |
| 2 | Tadamon Sour | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Beirut | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 61 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Beirut | Tadamon Sour |
|---|---|---|
| Reyady Abaseya | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Nejmeh | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Al-Mabarrah | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Safa Beirut | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Jwaya FC | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 0-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Al Ahed | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sagesse SC | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 9 L | 0 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Tadamon Sour (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Beirut
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/02 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/01 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Tadamon Sour
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
– | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/01 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Beirut vs Tadamon Sour?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tadamon Sour win (63%). Probabilities: Racing Beirut 13%, draw 24%, Tadamon Sour 63%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Beirut vs Tadamon Sour?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Racing Beirut 0.55 · Tadamon Sour 1.59), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Beirut vs Tadamon Sour?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.