Prediction: Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel '38

Team pages: Roosendaal · Blauw Geel '38

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Roosendaal1.96
Blauw Geel '381.28
1X2
52% 24% 24%
Roosendaal Draw Blauw Geel '38
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Roosendaal 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LDWWLWWLLW
Blauw Geel '38 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLDLD
Head-to-head
Roosendaal 1–1–0 Blauw Geel '38 (2 last)
  • Roosendaal2-1Blauw Geel '38
  • Blauw Geel '381-1Roosendaal
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roosendaal 1536 · Blauw Geel '38 1446
RoosendaalDrawBlauw Geel '38
Our model52%24%24%
Market52%23%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roosendaal (rating 1536 vs 1446).
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RoosendaalBlauw Geel '38
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.61.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.70.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 63.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roosendaal 110 Blauw Geel '38

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Netherlands Derde Divisie
Roosendaal2-1
HT 1-0
Blauw Geel '38
30/11/25
Netherlands Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel '381-1
HT 1-0
Roosendaal

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lisse 4400 8212
2 Noordwijk 4310 7010
3 SV Poortugaal 4301 739
4 VV Dongen 4301 1299
5 Rijnvogels 4220 1158
6 RKSV UDI '19 4211 537
7 VV UNA 4130 746
8 Roosendaal 4202 636
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4121 435
10 VV Goes 4121 8105
11 VVSB 4112 574
12 Zwaluwen 4112 384
13 VV Gemert 4031 783
14 Achilles Veen 4103 4133
15 TOGB 4022 692
16 Blauw Geel '38 4022 472
17 Groene Ster 4022 8122
18 EVV Echt 4004 5110

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoosendaalBlauw Geel '38
Achilles Veen 3-0 W 2-3 L
Noordwijk 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Roosendaal (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roosendaal

LDWWLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Achilles Veen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-0 3-0 100 W
29/08 Noordwijk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-1 L
22/08 FC Lisse
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-1 L
16/08 Groene Ster
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-0 3-1 97 W
23/05 RKSV UDI '19
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-2 4-3 W
16/05 FC Lisse
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 2-3 L
10/05 Blauw Geel '38
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 2-1 23 W
25/04 ASWH
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-1 3-2 72 W
19/04 TOGB
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 1-1 25 D
11/04 Kloetinge
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-2 1-3 L

Blauw Geel '38

WDLLWLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 VV Goes
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-1 2-2 86 D
29/08 Achilles Veen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-2 2-3 L
23/08 Rijnvogels
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-0 D
15/08 Noordwijk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-2 L
23/05 Zwaluwen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-3 L
16/05 Scheveningen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-0 3-2 W
10/05 Roosendaal
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 1-2 93 L
26/04 VV UNA
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 0-2 53 L
18/04 Rijnvogels
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-0 33 D
12/04 VV Goes
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 4-0 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel '38?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Roosendaal win (52%). Probabilities: Roosendaal 52%, draw 24%, Blauw Geel '38 24%.

How many goals are expected in Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel '38?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Roosendaal 1.96 · Blauw Geel '38 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel '38?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.