Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 20/09, 14:30

Prediction: VV Goes vs VV UNA

Team pages: VV Goes · VV UNA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

VV Goes1.65

VV UNA1.65

1X2

38% 24% 38%

VV Goes Draw VV UNA

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

VV Goes 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWDLDW

VV UNA 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDDWDL

Head-to-head

VV Goes 0–1–2 VV UNA (3 last)

VV UNA3-0VV Goes
VV Goes1-2VV UNA
VV UNA0-0VV Goes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VV Goes 1479 · VV UNA 1500

	VV Goes	Draw	VV UNA
Our model	37%	25%	37%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours VV UNA: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VV Goes	VV UNA
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.5	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.80

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +10’	2.35	3.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Goes 0–1–2 VV UNA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV UNA	3-0 HT 2-0	VV Goes
24/08/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Goes	1-2 HT 1-2	VV UNA
16/03/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV UNA	0-0 HT 0-0	VV Goes

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Noordwijk	6	5	1	0	12	0	16
2	FC Lisse	6	5	0	1	11	5	15
3	Rijnvogels	5	3	2	0	15	6	11
4	Excelsior Maassluis	6	3	2	1	12	5	11
5	RKSV UDI '19	5	3	1	1	9	4	10
6	SV Poortugaal	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
7	VV Dongen	5	3	0	2	14	12	9
8	VV Goes	5	2	2	1	11	12	8
9	VVSB	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
10	Zwaluwen	6	2	1	3	4	9	7
11	VV Gemert	5	1	3	1	9	9	6
12	VV UNA	5	1	3	1	8	8	6
13	Roosendaal	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
14	Blauw Geel '38	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
15	Groene Ster	5	1	2	2	9	12	5
16	Achilles Veen	6	1	0	5	7	18	3
17	TOGB	6	0	2	4	8	15	2
18	EVV Echt	5	0	0	5	6	15	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VV Goes	VV UNA
Blauw Geel '38	2-2 D	2-0 W
Rijnvogels	1-4 L	1-4 L
VV Gemert	2-2 D	1-1 D
EVV Echt	3-2 W	4-1 W
Meerssen	3-4 L	1-2 L
RKSV UDI '19	4-0 W	3-1 W
FC Lisse	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VV Goes

DWLLDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
06/09	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
30/08	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-4	5	1	L
23/08	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
25/04	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/04	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

VV UNA

WWLWLDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
06/09	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
22/08	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/05	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
26/04	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
18/04	ASWH Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	2-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VV Goes vs VV UNA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VV Goes win (38%). Probabilities: VV Goes 38%, draw 24%, VV UNA 38%.

How many goals are expected in VV Goes vs VV UNA?

The model expects 3.29 goals (VV Goes 1.65 · VV UNA 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VV Goes vs VV UNA?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.