Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 19/09, 15:00
Prediction: TOGB vs Noordwijk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
TOGB1.5
Noordwijk1.78
1X2
TOGB
Draw
Noordwijk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
TOGB
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Noordwijk
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
TOGB
1–1
Noordwijk
(2 last)
- Noordwijk1-2TOGB
- TOGB0-1Noordwijk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noordwijk (rating 1465 vs 1562).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TOGB | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TOGB 1–0–1 Noordwijk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie | Noordwijk | 1-2 HT 0-2 | TOGB |
| 13/12/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie | TOGB | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Noordwijk |
Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lisse | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Noordwijk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | RKSV UDI '19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | SV Poortugaal | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | VV Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | VV Goes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | VV Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | VV UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel '38 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | VVSB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | Zwaluwen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV Echt | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TOGB | Noordwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | 3-3 D | 2-4 L |
| Roosendaal | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TOGB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Scheveningen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Noordwijk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Kloetinge Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | SteDoco Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TOGB vs Noordwijk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Noordwijk win (43%). Probabilities: TOGB 32%, draw 25%, Noordwijk 43%.
How many goals are expected in TOGB vs Noordwijk?
The model expects 3.27 goals (TOGB 1.5 · Noordwijk 1.78), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in TOGB vs Noordwijk?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.