Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 20/09, 14:00

Prediction: VV Gemert vs RKSV UDI '19

Team pages: VV Gemert · RKSV UDI '19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

VV Gemert1.63

RKSV UDI '192.03

1X2

31% 23% 47%

VV Gemert Draw RKSV UDI '19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

VV Gemert 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDDLDW

RKSV UDI '19 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWWLW

Head-to-head

VV Gemert 2–1–0 RKSV UDI '19 (3 last)

VV Gemert3-1RKSV UDI '19
RKSV UDI '190-2VV Gemert
VV Gemert0-0RKSV UDI '19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VV Gemert 1542 · RKSV UDI '19 1476

	VV Gemert	Draw	RKSV UDI '19
Our model	31%	23%	46%
Market	31%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VV Gemert (rating 1542 vs 1476).
H2H favours VV Gemert: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VV Gemert	RKSV UDI '19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	3.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.90

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +4’	2.90	3.90	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Gemert 2–1–0 RKSV UDI '19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Gemert	3-1 HT 1-0	RKSV UDI '19
25/10/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	RKSV UDI '19	0-2 HT 0-2	VV Gemert
11/09/22 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Gemert	0-0 HT 0-0	RKSV UDI '19

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Noordwijk	6	5	1	0	12	0	16
2	FC Lisse	6	5	0	1	11	5	15
3	Rijnvogels	5	3	2	0	15	6	11
4	Excelsior Maassluis	6	3	2	1	12	5	11
5	RKSV UDI '19	5	3	1	1	9	4	10
6	SV Poortugaal	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
7	VV Dongen	5	3	0	2	14	12	9
8	VV Goes	5	2	2	1	11	12	8
9	VVSB	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
10	Zwaluwen	6	2	1	3	4	9	7
11	VV Gemert	5	1	3	1	9	9	6
12	VV UNA	5	1	3	1	8	8	6
13	Roosendaal	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
14	Blauw Geel '38	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
15	Groene Ster	5	1	2	2	9	12	5
16	Achilles Veen	6	1	0	5	7	18	3
17	TOGB	6	0	2	4	8	15	2
18	EVV Echt	5	0	0	5	6	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VV Gemert	RKSV UDI '19
VV UNA	1-1 D	1-3 L
VV Goes	2-2 D	0-4 L
Rijnvogels	2-2 D	0-3 L
VVSB	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VV Gemert (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VV Gemert

WLLWDDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
23/08	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	SteDoco Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-1	6-1	7	1	W
10/05	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
25/04	Noordwijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
19/04	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-1	4-1	10	2	W

RKSV UDI '19

LLLLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-1	12	1	W
05/09	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
22/08	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
23/05	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-3	3-4	–	–	L
16/05	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
25/04	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
18/04	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-5	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VV Gemert vs RKSV UDI '19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RKSV UDI '19 win (47%). Probabilities: VV Gemert 31%, draw 23%, RKSV UDI '19 47%.

How many goals are expected in VV Gemert vs RKSV UDI '19?

The model expects 3.66 goals (VV Gemert 1.63 · RKSV UDI '19 2.03), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VV Gemert vs RKSV UDI '19?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.