Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:00
Prediction: RAEC Mons vs Standard Liege II
Team pages: RAEC Mons · Standard Liege II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
RAEC Mons1.96
Standard Liege II0.89
1X2
RAEC Mons
Draw
Standard Liege II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
RAEC Mons
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Standard Liege II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RAEC Mons
4–1
Standard Liege II
(5 last)
- Standard Liege II3-2RAEC Mons
- Standard Liege II0-2RAEC Mons
- RAEC Mons5-1Standard Liege II
- RAEC Mons3-1Standard Liege II
- Standard Liege II1-2RAEC Mons
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RAEC Mons 1562 · Standard Liege II 1469
| RAEC Mons | Draw | Standard Liege II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RAEC Mons (rating 1562 vs 1469).
- H2H favours RAEC Mons: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RAEC Mons | Standard Liege II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RAEC Mons 4–0–1 Standard Liege II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 3-2 HT 2-2 | RAEC Mons |
| 16/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | RAEC Mons |
| 13/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Standard Liege II |
| 30/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Standard Liege II |
| 19/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | RAEC Mons |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Union Rochefortoise | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Tubize | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | RWD Molenbeek | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | RAEC Mons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 17 |
| 7 | ROC Charleroi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 11 | RCS Onhaye | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RAEC Mons | Standard Liege II |
|---|---|---|
| Union Saint Gilloise II | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| RWD Molenbeek | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Rochefortoise | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| RSC Habay | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Flenu | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| RCS Onhaye | 5-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Tubize | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Sporting Charleroi U23 | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: RAEC Mons (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RAEC Mons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/10 | Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Standard Liege II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/10 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RAEC Mons vs Standard Liege II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RAEC Mons win (62%). Probabilities: RAEC Mons 62%, draw 22%, Standard Liege II 16%.
How many goals are expected in RAEC Mons vs Standard Liege II?
The model expects 2.86 goals (RAEC Mons 1.96 · Standard Liege II 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RAEC Mons vs Standard Liege II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.