Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: Tubize vs ROC Charleroi

Team pages: Tubize

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Tubize1.66

ROC Charleroi1.41

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Tubize Draw ROC Charleroi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tubize 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWLLWW

ROC Charleroi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Tubize 2–1–3 ROC Charleroi (6 last)

ROC Charleroi1-3Tubize
Tubize1-2ROC Charleroi
ROC Charleroi2-2Tubize
Tubize4-1ROC Charleroi
ROC Charleroi3-2Tubize
ROC Charleroi3-0Tubize

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tubize 1523 · ROC Charleroi 1504

	Tubize	Draw	ROC Charleroi
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ROC Charleroi: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tubize	ROC Charleroi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.30 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +7’	2.10	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:11	2.08	3.32	3.09
09:24 +51’	2.32▲	3.45▲	2.75▼
06:16 +18’	2.32	3.43▼	2.76▲
15:03 +20’	2.30▼	3.45▲	2.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tubize 2–1–3 ROC Charleroi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	ROC Charleroi	1-3 HT 0-1	Tubize
26/04/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	1-2 HT 1-2	ROC Charleroi
29/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	ROC Charleroi	2-2 HT 1-0	Tubize
30/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	4-1 HT 3-0	ROC Charleroi
11/09/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	ROC Charleroi	3-2 HT 1-0	Tubize
18/01/20 Belgium First Amateur Division	ROC Charleroi	3-0 HT 1-0	Tubize

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tubize	ROC Charleroi
RCS Onhaye	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Flenu	4-0 W	4-3 W
RFC Meux	0-1 L	1-1 D
RWD Molenbeek	1-2 L	3-1 W
RSC Habay	1-0 W	1-0 W
Union Saint Gilloise II	1-1 D	1-1 D
RAEC Mons	2-2 D	0-3 L
Union Rochefortoise	1-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tubize

WLDWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
25/10	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
17/10	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
10/10	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
03/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
26/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
05/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

ROC Charleroi

WLDLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	0-4	4	1	L
17/10	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
10/10	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
03/10	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
30/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-3	2	6	W
19/09	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
12/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
30/08	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tubize vs ROC Charleroi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tubize win (43%). Probabilities: Tubize 43%, draw 25%, ROC Charleroi 32%.

How many goals are expected in Tubize vs ROC Charleroi?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Tubize 1.66 · ROC Charleroi 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tubize vs ROC Charleroi?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.