Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Standard Liege II vs Tubize

Team pages: Tubize

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Standard Liege II0.81

Tubize2.04

1X2

14% 20% 66%

Standard Liege II Draw Tubize

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Standard Liege II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWDWD

Tubize 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Standard Liege II 0–4 Tubize (4 last)

Standard Liege II1-2Tubize
Tubize4-0Standard Liege II
Tubize3-0Standard Liege II
Standard Liege II0-1Tubize

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Standard Liege II 1518 · Tubize 1530

	Standard Liege II	Draw	Tubize
Our model	13%	22%	65%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tubize: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Standard Liege II	Tubize
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:27 +9’	6.00	5.00	1.33
16:16 +11’	6.50▲	4.75▼	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege II 0–0–4 Tubize

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Standard Liege II	1-2 HT 0-2	Tubize
04/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	4-0 HT 1-0	Standard Liege II
08/02/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tubize	3-0 HT 2-0	Standard Liege II
03/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Standard Liege II	0-1 HT 0-0	Tubize

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Tubize	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	RAEC Mons	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	RFC Meux	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
6	FC Flenu	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	ROC Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	RCS Onhaye	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Standard Liege II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	RSC Habay	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Sporting Charleroi U23	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	Union Saint Gilloise II	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Standard Liege II

WLDWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
25/04	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
19/04	RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	8	5	W
12/04	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	9	7	W
29/03	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/03	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/03	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
08/03	RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	1	6	L
01/03	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

Tubize

DDLLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/05	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
03/05	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/04	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
11/04	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
29/03	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	10	7	L
21/03	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
14/03	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
07/03	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Standard Liege II vs Tubize?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tubize win (66%). Probabilities: Standard Liege II 14%, draw 20%, Tubize 66%.

How many goals are expected in Standard Liege II vs Tubize?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Standard Liege II 0.81 · Tubize 2.04), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Standard Liege II vs Tubize?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.