Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Belisia Bilzen SV vs KVC Houtvenne

Team pages: Belisia Bilzen SV · KVC Houtvenne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Belisia Bilzen SV2.04

KVC Houtvenne1.5

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Belisia Bilzen SV Draw KVC Houtvenne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Belisia Bilzen SV 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWD

KVC Houtvenne 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLLLW

Head-to-head

Belisia Bilzen SV 2–1 KVC Houtvenne (3 last)

Belisia Bilzen SV1-4KVC Houtvenne
KVC Houtvenne0-2Belisia Bilzen SV
Belisia Bilzen SV2-0KVC Houtvenne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belisia Bilzen SV 1541 · KVC Houtvenne 1496

	Belisia Bilzen SV	Draw	KVC Houtvenne
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belisia Bilzen SV (rating 1541 vs 1496).
H2H favours Belisia Bilzen SV: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belisia Bilzen SV	KVC Houtvenne
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.75

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.77

Under 3.252.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.85
X	4.20 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.07 ★
2	4.00 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +4’	1.60	4.20	4.00
10:19 +8’	1.83▲	3.75▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:17 +1’	1.85	4.07	3.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Belisia Bilzen SV 2–0–1 KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	1-4 HT 0-4	KVC Houtvenne
25/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVC Houtvenne	0-2 HT 0-1	Belisia Bilzen SV
21/02/24 Belgium Second Amateur Division VFV B	Belisia Bilzen SV	2-0 HT 0-0	KVC Houtvenne

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Tubize	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	RFC Meux	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	ROC Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Sporting Charleroi U23	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	RCS Onhaye	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	RAEC Mons	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
9	Standard Liege II	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	RSC Habay	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
11	Union Saint Gilloise II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	FC Flenu	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belisia Bilzen SV	KVC Houtvenne
SK Roeselare	1-1 D	0-2 L
KVV Zelzate	5-0 W	3-0 W
Cercle Brugge Reserves	5-0 W	1-1 D
Tienen	0-2 L	3-1 W
Dessel Sport	3-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Belisia Bilzen SV (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belisia Bilzen SV

WLLWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
26/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-2	5	3	W
19/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	1	W
12/04	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	5-0	5	1	W
29/03	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
22/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
14/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
08/03	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-3	6	3	L
28/02	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-5	7	4	L
21/02	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	6	2	W

KVC Houtvenne

LWWLWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
19/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
21/03	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-1	0	2	W
13/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
08/03	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
28/02	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
21/02	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KVC Houtvenne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belisia Bilzen SV win (49%). Probabilities: Belisia Bilzen SV 49%, draw 24%, KVC Houtvenne 27%.

How many goals are expected in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Belisia Bilzen SV 2.04 · KVC Houtvenne 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.