Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: KVV Zelzate vs SK Roeselare

Team pages: KVV Zelzate · SK Roeselare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

KVV Zelzate1.65

SK Roeselare2.09

1X2

30% 23% 47%

KVV Zelzate Draw SK Roeselare

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Zelzate 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLLLD

SK Roeselare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDDWWD

Head-to-head

KVV Zelzate 1–1–1 SK Roeselare (3 last)

SK Roeselare3-3KVV Zelzate
KVV Zelzate2-3SK Roeselare
KVV Zelzate3-2SK Roeselare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Zelzate 1462 · SK Roeselare 1555

	KVV Zelzate	Draw	SK Roeselare
Our model	30%	23%	47%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1462 vs 1555).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Zelzate	SK Roeselare
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.7 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.92 ★
X	4.00 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.22

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +4’	3.00	4.00	1.91
10:19 +8’	2.55▼	3.75▼	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:17	2.89	3.33	2.25
10:25 +1’	2.92▲	3.34▲	2.22▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Zelzate 1–1–1 SK Roeselare

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	SK Roeselare	3-3 HT 2-2	KVV Zelzate
11/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	2-3 HT 2-1	SK Roeselare
20/12/24 Belgium Second Amateur Division VFV A	KVV Zelzate	3-2 HT 1-1	SK Roeselare

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Tubize	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	RFC Meux	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	ROC Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Sporting Charleroi U23	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	RCS Onhaye	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	RAEC Mons	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
9	Standard Liege II	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	RSC Habay	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
11	Union Saint Gilloise II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	FC Flenu	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Zelzate	SK Roeselare
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-5 L	1-1 D
Hoogstraten VV	1-2 L	1-1 D
OH Leuven II	4-3 W	6-4 W
Diegem Sport	2-3 L	2-2 D
KVC Houtvenne	0-3 L	2-0 W
KVV Thes Sport	2-1 W	3-1 W
KFC Merelbeke	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Zelzate

WWLLWLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/04	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	1	6	L
19/04	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
11/04	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
28/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
22/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-3	9	7	W
15/03	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
08/03	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	9	4	L
28/02	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/02	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	7	4	W

SK Roeselare

WWWWLDDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
26/04	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
19/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
12/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
28/03	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	13	4	D
22/03	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
13/03	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
07/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-3	6-4	6	1	W
01/03	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
22/02	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-2	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Zelzate vs SK Roeselare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Roeselare win (47%). Probabilities: KVV Zelzate 30%, draw 23%, SK Roeselare 47%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Zelzate vs SK Roeselare?

The model expects 3.73 goals (KVV Zelzate 1.65 · SK Roeselare 2.09), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Zelzate vs SK Roeselare?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.