Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Standard Liege II vs RFC Meux

Team pages: Standard Liege II · RFC Meux

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Standard Liege II1.48

RFC Meux1.49

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Standard Liege II Draw RFC Meux

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Standard Liege II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWDWDL

RFC Meux 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDLDW

Head-to-head

Standard Liege II 0–2 RFC Meux (2 last)

RFC Meux4-0Standard Liege II
Standard Liege II1-2RFC Meux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Standard Liege II 1497 · RFC Meux 1523

	Standard Liege II	Draw	RFC Meux
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RFC Meux: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Standard Liege II	RFC Meux
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.61 ★
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.54

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:37 +20’	2.70	3.75	2.10
09:56 +31’	2.40▼	3.60▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:57	2.61	3.16	2.55
10:27	2.61	3.18▲	2.54▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege II 0–0–2 RFC Meux

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Meux	4-0 HT 3-0	Standard Liege II
26/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Standard Liege II	1-2 HT 1-1	RFC Meux

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Tubize	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	RFC Meux	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	ROC Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Sporting Charleroi U23	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	RCS Onhaye	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	RAEC Mons	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
9	Standard Liege II	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	RSC Habay	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
11	Union Saint Gilloise II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	FC Flenu	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Standard Liege II	RFC Meux
Tubize	0-1 L	2-2 D
Union Saint Gilloise II	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Meux (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Standard Liege II

LDWLWWDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
10/05	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
25/04	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
19/04	RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	8	5	W
12/04	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	9	7	W
29/03	Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/03	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/03	UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
08/03	RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	1	6	L

RFC Meux

LWLWWLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
26/08	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/05	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
03/05	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
18/04	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/04	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-4	6	8	L
21/03	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/03	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Standard Liege II vs RFC Meux?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Standard Liege II win (37%). Probabilities: Standard Liege II 37%, draw 26%, RFC Meux 37%.

How many goals are expected in Standard Liege II vs RFC Meux?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Standard Liege II 1.48 · RFC Meux 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Standard Liege II vs RFC Meux?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.