Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: RFC Meux vs Union Saint Gilloise II
Team pages: RFC Meux · Union Saint Gilloise II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
RFC Meux1.57
Union Saint Gilloise II1.33
1X2
RFC Meux
Draw
Union Saint Gilloise II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
RFC Meux
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Union Saint Gilloise II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RFC Meux
1–1–0
Union Saint Gilloise II
(2 last)
- RFC Meux4-0Union Saint Gilloise II
- Union Saint Gilloise II1-1RFC Meux
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RFC Meux 1508 · Union Saint Gilloise II 1527
| RFC Meux | Draw | Union Saint Gilloise II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFC Meux | Union Saint Gilloise II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RFC Meux 1–1–0 Union Saint Gilloise II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | RFC Meux | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Union Saint Gilloise II |
| 27/08/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Saint Gilloise II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | RFC Meux |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tubize | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | RAEC Mons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | RFC Meux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Flenu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | ROC Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | RCS Onhaye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFC Meux
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Union Saint Gilloise II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | UR Namur Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | RRC Stockay-Warfusee Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Crossing Schaerbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RFC Meux vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RFC Meux win (42%). Probabilities: RFC Meux 42%, draw 26%, Union Saint Gilloise II 32%.
How many goals are expected in RFC Meux vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
The model expects 2.9 goals (RFC Meux 1.57 · Union Saint Gilloise II 1.33), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RFC Meux vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.