Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: Union Rochefortoise vs RSC Habay
Team pages: Union Rochefortoise · RSC Habay
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Union Rochefortoise1.97
RSC Habay1.21
1X2
Union Rochefortoise
Draw
RSC Habay
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Rochefortoise
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
RSC Habay
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Rochefortoise
3–1
RSC Habay
(4 last)
- Union Rochefortoise4-1RSC Habay
- RSC Habay1-0Union Rochefortoise
- RSC Habay2-5Union Rochefortoise
- Union Rochefortoise1-0RSC Habay
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Rochefortoise 1488 · RSC Habay 1424
| Union Rochefortoise | Draw | RSC Habay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Rochefortoise (rating 1488 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Union Rochefortoise: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Rochefortoise | RSC Habay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Rochefortoise 3–0–1 RSC Habay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Rochefortoise | 4-1 HT 2-0 | RSC Habay |
| 15/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | RSC Habay | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union Rochefortoise |
| 30/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RSC Habay | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Union Rochefortoise |
| 27/08/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Rochefortoise | 1-0 HT 0-0 | RSC Habay |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | RFC Meux | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Tubize | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | ROC Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | RCS Onhaye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Rochefortoise | RSC Habay |
|---|---|---|
| Tubize | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Excelsior Virton | 3-5 L | 0-2 L |
| RFC Meux | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| RAEC Mons | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: RSC Habay (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Rochefortoise
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 07/03 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
RSC Habay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/03 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Rochefortoise vs RSC Habay?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Rochefortoise win (54%). Probabilities: Union Rochefortoise 54%, draw 24%, RSC Habay 22%.
How many goals are expected in Union Rochefortoise vs RSC Habay?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Union Rochefortoise 1.97 · RSC Habay 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Rochefortoise vs RSC Habay?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.