Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: Koninklijke HFC vs Quick Boys

Team pages: Koninklijke HFC · Quick Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Koninklijke HFC0.91

Quick Boys2.04

1X2

16% 21% 63%

Koninklijke HFC Draw Quick Boys

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Koninklijke HFC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDDLD

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Koninklijke HFC 2–2–2 Quick Boys (6 last)

Quick Boys0-1Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC1-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys1-0Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC1-2Quick Boys
Koninklijke HFC1-1Quick Boys
Quick Boys1-2Koninklijke HFC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Koninklijke HFC 1489 · Quick Boys 1557

	Koninklijke HFC	Draw	Quick Boys
Our model	15%	22%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quick Boys (rating 1489 vs 1557).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Koninklijke HFC	Quick Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	2.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:23 +11’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Koninklijke HFC 2–2–2 Quick Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	0-1 HT 0-1	Koninklijke HFC
27/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-1 HT 0-0	Quick Boys
12/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Koninklijke HFC
09/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-2 HT 1-0	Quick Boys
03/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	1-1 HT 0-1	Quick Boys
09/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-2 HT 0-1	Koninklijke HFC

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Koninklijke HFC	Quick Boys
Kozakken Boys	1-1 D	2-1 W
ACV Assen	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Koninklijke HFC

LLWLLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
12/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
23/05	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-2	4	1	W
16/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-4	2	1	L

Quick Boys

WDWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
15/08	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
23/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
16/05	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-2	8	7	D
09/05	ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Koninklijke HFC vs Quick Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Quick Boys win (63%). Probabilities: Koninklijke HFC 16%, draw 21%, Quick Boys 63%.

How many goals are expected in Koninklijke HFC vs Quick Boys?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Koninklijke HFC 0.91 · Quick Boys 2.04), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Koninklijke HFC vs Quick Boys?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.