Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 09/11, 10:00

Prediction: FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Team pages: FC Viktoriya Sumy · Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

FC Viktoriya Sumy1.31

Ahrobiznes Volochysk0.89

1X2

45% 31% 24%

FC Viktoriya Sumy Draw Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Viktoriya Sumy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWDWDW

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Viktoriya Sumy 1–1–2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (4 last)

Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0FC Viktoriya Sumy
FC Viktoriya Sumy1-2Ahrobiznes Volochysk
FC Viktoriya Sumy1-0Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0-0FC Viktoriya Sumy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1506 · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1556

	FC Viktoriya Sumy	Draw	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Our model	45%	31%	24%
Market	45%	31%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk (rating 1506 vs 1556).
H2H favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Viktoriya Sumy	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.3	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X2.90

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 07:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.00▼	Pinn 2.39 ★
X	3.10 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90
2	2.88 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +2’	2.25	3.10	2.88
21:02 +2’	2.10▼	3.10	3.20▲
00:00 +1’	2.30▲	3.10	2.90▼
04:57 +3’	2.00▼	3.10	3.40▲
06:54 +6’	2.00	2.90▼	3.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:57	2.30	2.94	2.92
00:47 +15’	2.39▲	2.71▼	3.02▲
08:51 +9’	2.39	2.76▲	3.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1–1–2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Ukraine Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Viktoriya Sumy
25/10/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	FC Viktoriya Sumy	1-2 HT 0-1	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
28/04/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	FC Viktoriya Sumy	1-0 HT 0-0	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
24/03/24 Ukraine Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Viktoriya Sumy

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	14	8	4	2	19	11	28
2	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	15	8	4	3	24	15	28
3	PFC Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20	11	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	13	8	2	3	22	14	26
5	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	15	7	4	4	29	18	25
6	SC Poltava	15	7	3	5	25	14	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21	15	22
8	FC Metalist Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21	18	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21	21	20
10	Ingulets Petrovo	14	5	3	6	15	19	18
11	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	15	4	5	6	14	19	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19	24	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
14	FC Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15	35	11
15	FC Chernigiv	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	15	1	6	8	20	31	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Viktoriya Sumy	Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	1-1 D	3-0 W
FC Metalist Kharkiv	2-2 D	1-0 W
Ingulets Petrovo	1-0 W	1-0 W
UCSA	0-0 D	3-2 W
Nyva Ternopil	1-3 L	0-0 D
PFC Oleksandria	0-1 L	1-0 W
Polissya Zhytomyr II	1-1 D	2-3 L
FC Probiy Horodenka	3-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ahrobiznes Volochysk (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Viktoriya Sumy

WDLLDWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	0	6	D
17/10	FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
09/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	2-2	9	3	D
03/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
26/09	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
21/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	1-3	13	1	L
14/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
05/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

DLWLWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	3-0	1	6	W
17/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
27/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
20/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
14/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
05/09	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	2-0	6-0	1	0	W
30/08	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
14/08	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Viktoriya Sumy win (45%). Probabilities: FC Viktoriya Sumy 45%, draw 31%, Ahrobiznes Volochysk 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

The model expects 2.19 goals (FC Viktoriya Sumy 1.31 · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.