Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 14/11, 10:00
Prediction: FC Viktoriya Sumy vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Team pages: FC Viktoriya Sumy · FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
FC Viktoriya Sumy1.1
FSC Feniks-Mariupol1.07
1X2
FC Viktoriya Sumy
Draw
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Viktoriya Sumy
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Viktoriya Sumy
2–1–3
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
(6 last)
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol0-1FC Viktoriya Sumy
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol2-0FC Viktoriya Sumy
- FC Viktoriya Sumy1-2FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol0-4FC Viktoriya Sumy
- FC Viktoriya Sumy0-0FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1516 · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1560
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | Draw | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FSC Feniks-Mariupol (rating 1516 vs 1560).
- H2H favours FSC Feniks-Mariupol: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Viktoriya Sumy 2–1–3 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 01/06/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 08/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 03/11/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 11/09/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 01/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | PFC Oleksandria | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 | SC Poltava | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Nyva Ternopil | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | Ingulets Petrovo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
| 11 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | UCSA | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Chernigiv | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Viktoriya Sumy | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Ingulets Petrovo | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| UCSA | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| PFC Oleksandria | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FSC Feniks-Mariupol (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Viktoriya Sumy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 21/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 23/10 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Viktoriya Sumy win (36%). Probabilities: FC Viktoriya Sumy 36%, draw 30%, FSC Feniks-Mariupol 34%.
How many goals are expected in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
The model expects 2.16 goals (FC Viktoriya Sumy 1.1 · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.