Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 13/11, 11:00

Prediction: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs Kolos Kovalivka II

Team pages: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk · Kolos Kovalivka II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1.52

Kolos Kovalivka II0.74

1X2

55% 27% 18%

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Draw Kolos Kovalivka II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLDLD

Kolos Kovalivka II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka II (1 last)

Kolos Kovalivka II1-0Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1445 · Kolos Kovalivka II 1457

	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka II
Our model	55%	28%	17%
Market	56%	26%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	Kolos Kovalivka II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.40

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.58 ★
2	4.00 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
11:38 +23’	1.80	3.25	4.00
12:28 +33’	1.61▼	3.40▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +7’	1.59	3.58	4.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 0–0–1 Kolos Kovalivka II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Ukraine Persha Liga	Kolos Kovalivka II	1-0 HT 0-0	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	15	9	4	2	21	11	31
2	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	15	8	4	3	24	15	28
3	PFC Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20	11	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	14	8	2	4	22	16	26
5	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	15	7	4	4	29	18	25
6	SC Poltava	15	7	3	5	25	14	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21	15	22
8	FC Metalist Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21	18	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21	21	20
10	Ingulets Petrovo	14	5	3	6	15	19	18
11	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	15	4	5	6	14	19	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19	24	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
14	FC Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15	35	11
15	FC Chernigiv	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	15	1	6	8	20	31	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	Kolos Kovalivka II
SC Poltava	0-4 L	0-1 L
FC Metalist Kharkiv	0-0 D	0-4 L
Ingulets Petrovo	1-2 L	0-2 L
UCSA	1-0 W	0-0 D
Nyva Ternopil	2-1 W	1-3 L
PFC Oleksandria	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk

DWWLDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
30/10	Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
24/10	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
17/10	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
11/10	FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
03/10	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/09	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
05/09	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Kolos Kovalivka II

LWLWWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	0-4	4	6	L
25/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
04/10	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
28/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
19/09	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
04/09	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/08	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk win (55%). Probabilities: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 55%, draw 27%, Kolos Kovalivka II 18%.

How many goals are expected in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1.52 · Kolos Kovalivka II 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.