Prediction: PFC Oleksandria vs FC Probiy Horodenka
Team pages: PFC Oleksandria · FC Probiy Horodenka
- FC Probiy Horodenka1-1PFC Oleksandria
| PFC Oleksandria | Draw | FC Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Oleksandria (rating 1545 vs 1458).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Oleksandria | FC Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Oleksandria 0–1–0 FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Ukraine Cup | FC Probiy Horodenka | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PFC Oleksandria |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | PFC Oleksandria | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Ingulets Petrovo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Oleksandria | FC Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0-1 L | 0-6 L |
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Chernigiv | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Oleksandria (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Oleksandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Oleksandria vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Oleksandria win (69%). Probabilities: PFC Oleksandria 69%, draw 20%, FC Probiy Horodenka 11%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Oleksandria vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
The model expects 2.81 goals (PFC Oleksandria 2.11 · FC Probiy Horodenka 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Oleksandria vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.