Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 01/11, 12:30
Prediction: FC Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil
Team pages: FC Probiy Horodenka · Nyva Ternopil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
FC Probiy Horodenka1.1
Nyva Ternopil1.26
1X2
FC Probiy Horodenka
Draw
Nyva Ternopil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Probiy Horodenka
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Nyva Ternopil
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Probiy Horodenka
0–1–1
Nyva Ternopil
(2 last)
- Nyva Ternopil0-0FC Probiy Horodenka
- FC Probiy Horodenka1-2Nyva Ternopil
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nyva Ternopil (rating 1436 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Probiy Horodenka | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/10/90% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Probiy Horodenka 0–1–1 Nyva Ternopil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | Nyva Ternopil | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Probiy Horodenka |
| 05/09/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Probiy Horodenka | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Nyva Ternopil |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | PFC Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Ingulets Petrovo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 17 |
| 10 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 12 | UCSA | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Probiy Horodenka | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0-6 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nyva Ternopil (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Nyva Ternopil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/09 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nyva Ternopil win (39%). Probabilities: FC Probiy Horodenka 31%, draw 30%, Nyva Ternopil 39%.
How many goals are expected in FC Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?
The model expects 2.37 goals (FC Probiy Horodenka 1.1 · Nyva Ternopil 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.